Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 85.479895 94.915345 104.642780 115.397919 126.933308 138.911831 152.268174
2024-12-29 72.404690 86.483170 101.739536 119.403532 139.193143 160.584502 185.357293
2025-01-05 63.661811 80.094602 98.534610 120.563273 145.962889 174.135717 207.546866
2025-01-12 56.718342 74.733254 95.577181 121.154714 151.367085 185.597890 226.982782
2025-01-19 49.398126 68.085123 90.353074 118.377554 152.227779 191.328864 239.425274
2025-01-26 46.557918 66.552591 90.947327 122.264483 160.750905 205.867721 262.090759
2025-02-02 43.518876 64.447933 90.567707 124.735345 167.406790 218.114305 282.059478
2025-02-09 40.217248 61.702816 89.125401 125.660576 172.002001 227.788085 298.930521
2025-02-16 38.616417 61.057565 90.246787 129.732834 180.459836 242.172200 321.587725
2025-02-23 36.259467 59.186317 89.604853 131.408227 185.818205 252.723062 339.609477
2025-03-02 32.853104 55.596591 86.451212 129.600724 186.571017 257.441196 350.384547
2025-03-09 30.133876 52.785112 84.169132 128.780034 188.461372 263.495104 362.778358
2025-03-16 27.772631 50.386803 82.391780 128.627825 191.289724 270.888165 377.121591
2025-03-23 26.894870 50.162439 83.642594 132.617528 199.651373 285.472374 400.755519
2025-03-30 25.292886 48.697045 83.015684 133.928097 204.387732 295.380393 418.487114
2025-04-06 23.631732 47.012476 81.964098 134.556181 208.147920 304.006371 434.613043
2025-04-13 21.144131 43.800973 78.478943 131.560380 206.822535 305.861260 441.925252
2025-04-20 20.698382 43.931958 79.995086 135.755072 215.424434 320.882673 466.459307
2025-04-27 19.904034 43.412017 80.475100 138.420384 221.910898 333.139021 487.477299
2025-05-04 18.771163 42.224147 79.854903 139.418120 226.039812 342.255337 504.428524
2025-05-11 18.478622 42.494452 81.511542 143.807777 234.993553 357.933389 530.163318
2025-05-18 17.637789 41.718293 81.461942 145.612937 240.275396 368.680347 549.439029
2025-05-25 16.077508 39.504440 78.995346 143.665414 240.113346 371.983321 558.792217